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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46827 |
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ehh... dude I consider myself pretty damn left of center.. but at some point..politics must end and real leadership must start.... and it becomes obvious that destroying your whole economic system can be because your people want it is... a frickin STUPID idea.
No likes or wants austerity.. if leadership was easy.. we all could do it.. sometimes being a leader is making hard choices and having to convince your followers/your country that what has to be done is necessary. Greece ain't getting better terms than they just rejected.. this isn't Italy here and can bring down the whole Euro by having its economy go tits up. Greece just a big f**k YOU to the EU. I wouldn't be surprised if they just say.. ok.. well then f**k you. Enjoy never being able to reopen your banks. That country is going 1930's depression baby |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Congrats, Greece!
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GKR
Forum Senior Member Joined: January 22 2013 Location: Brazil Status: Offline Points: 1376 |
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Thats why I'am following with care, Micky. There are ways to avoid this, going to the right or the left (only future will tell).
It all depends... |
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- From each according to his ability, to each according to his need.
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46827 |
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save that picture for posterity will you... and check back in an month.... perhaps even the electricity might still be on ... |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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Well, they are already in 1930s depression. Their economy is in contraction mode and unemployment is already at untenable levels. It can't possibly get much worse from here on. At least getting back the Drachma will help them restart the 'printing press' and inflate their way out of trouble, something they couldn't do as long as they were in the Eurozone. This is the fundamental problem with the way the Eurozone is organised and it has nothing to do with ideology. A bunch of nations who have no currency flexibility and yet are expected to run sovereign governments. Doesn't work. Preaching austerity in the golden, trillion-dollar age of QE doesn't make sense. Germany has to soften its stand from hereon because other than them and France, nobody in the Eurozone is in a bright spot at the moment.
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46827 |
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damn right it can get worse.. if they default and leave the Eurozone
then they are going stoneage Roger... and those billions they owe. .will hang over that country for a generation. NO WAY the EU or Germany willl forgive that debt. Right or wrong.. things are what they are. Greece has zero leverage here. Life isn't fair.. reality is what is for Greece. Unfortunately their leadership is about to find out those cheers for standing up to big bad Germany will soon turn to anger as things get even worse than any austerity measures brought.... bah.. it is my bedtime... as you said.. interesting times. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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That is sadly what Germany would like to believe would happen and it is unlikely to. A developed nation like Greece will not remain a pariah for long. They will find benefactors who will of course extract their pound of flesh but they will get back on their feet. Our nation has seen this situation before, micky. That is what makes me so confident that leaving the eurozone will work out alright for Greece. In 1991, India was only two weeks away from running out of foreign exchange to pay for its imports. You understand...we would have run out of money to pay for oil. No gas to transport even food items across the country. You are only talking about no electricity which is um a reality for large parts of India anyway. IMF put together a strings-attached package and we are certainly none the worse for the adventure. Iceland too defaulted on debt and was treated as a rogue nation for a while. But they are doing ok now. There's nothing much the international financial system can do if a sovereign nation refuses to pay. Sure, they can bully them all they want but what if they still don't pay. Besides, it is not as if the stellar 'leadership' of IMF or the 'wise men' of Europe did much to avert such a situation. God only knows why they signed up for monetary union without fiscal union and that they were cocksure in their belief that this could work...the mind boggles merely at the contemplation of such phenomenal stupidity.
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Others, all of necessary things, Ellada has. Under that their lofty sun manage innumerable types of greens for cooking that are nutritious and above all healthy, and cheap, the various "horta" as the Greeks call it - and they will survive. If they need a collective diet, say, for five years, it's better 1000s times than austerity measures - forever. Also, this is an important victory for the radical Left to initiate similar processes in Spain, Italy, Ireland, France and so on.
Edited by Svetonio - July 05 2015 at 23:59 |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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Excellent article on this issue:
Exactly, the notion that it is ok for govts to grant a taxpayer-funded haircut for big banks and big corporations but not sovereign govts is repugnant. Anyhow, uneasy status quo had prevailed for too long without a light at the end of the tunnel so Greece was bound to blow up.
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Look at these faces! The highest Greek clergy, Archbishop of Athens Ieronimos & Co., who urged the Greeks to vote "yes" to austerity measures.
Even one who does not understand the economy, when sees these faces, that one must vote the opposite of what these guys urge Edited by Svetonio - July 06 2015 at 01:31 |
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Moogtron III
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 26 2005 Location: Belgium Status: Offline Points: 10616 |
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Very interesting article.
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Edited by Svetonio - July 06 2015 at 05:46 |
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TGM: Orb
Prog Reviewer Joined: October 21 2007 Location: n/a Status: Offline Points: 8052 |
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Was never going to get better with the EU/IMF's stance. Greece can at least default and eventually rebuild if it gets out of the euro rather than taking on further permanent spiralling debt at the cost of any ability to decide how to repay their creditors (by e.g. tax rises). Going to be interesting seeing how painful the collapse is and how the markets and the EU try to punish the Greeks for straying from the orthodoxy. |
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Finnforest
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: February 03 2007 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 16913 |
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Oh how I wish them well....our friends of this very site....saying my prayers for you!
It must be absolutely terrifying. |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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As per IMF's own best case scenario (of 1% average annual GDP growth) it would still take Greece 3 decades to pay off their obligations. And there's no way they are growing that fast with an expenditure squeeze. As I said earlier in the thread, the obligations of a sovereign nation have to be handled differently from that of a typical debtor. And hey, big corporations do get their debt restructured. It is an annual carnival in India ever since demand dried up in the last couple of years, putting companies that overbet on growth in deep trouble. They just keep their debt restructured without paying. I am not saying that is right but I do have trouble understanding why the largesse that is routinely extended to corporations should not be extended to a developed nation.
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Padraic
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: February 16 2006 Location: Pennsylvania Status: Offline Points: 31165 |
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this whole situation has been completely bungled by both sides.
grexit is the only way out |
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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It's actually a simple "recipe": firstly, I destroy your economy. Then I open my factory, and your country is my guarantor. Then you raised your credit from my bank, just to buy my goods. Such a failure, you raised a loan, to save my bank, and the same bank is giving a credit to you. You're broke, of course, and I'm taking your big state-owned companies, your fertile land, sources of mineral water, islands, whetever is interesting to me. And we both speak German perfectly Edited by Svetonio - July 08 2015 at 14:19 |
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refugee
Forum Senior Member VIP Member Joined: November 20 2006 Location: Greece Status: Offline Points: 7026 |
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According to The Guardian the Greek government will now accept even harsher conditions than they rejected:
International observers have been telling us today that the package is likely to be so punitive that humanitarian aid cannot be ruled out. Then it’s back to business as usual, only a bit worse than before. Prepare for strikes and demonstrations. |
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He say nothing is quite what it seems;
I say nothing is nothing (Peter Hammill) |
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Edited by Svetonio - July 09 2015 at 14:17 |
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Svetonio
Forum Senior Member Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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