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9 things that will disappear in our lifetime....

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AtomicCrimsonRush View Drop Down
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    Posted: June 24 2011 at 03:10
This memo was sent around to the teachers at the K-12 school where I work from our Principal. He does not know where he gained a lot of the material but it is a potent matter. It poses a topic for discussion and I thought it may stir up some ideas here of benefit that I may be able to pass on. Some ideas may pertain purely to Australia, but overall these are alarming wake up calls. 
 
 

9 Things That Will Disappear In Our Lifetime…….

Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we adapt to them. But, ready or not, here they come.

1. The Post Office. Get ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is probably no way to sustain it long term. e-mail, Fed Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

2. The Check. Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with checks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process checks. Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would absolutely go out of business.

3. The Newspaper. The younger generation simply doesn’t read the newspaper. They certainly don’t subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a model for paid subscription services.

4. The Book. You say you will never give up the physical book that you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same thing about downloading music from iTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the story, can’t wait to see what happens next, and you forget that you’re holding a gadget instead of a book.

5. The Land Line Telephone. Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls, you don’t need it anymore. Most people keep it simply because they’ve always had it. But you are paying double charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge against your minutes.

6. Music. This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading. It’s because innovative new music isn’t being given a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music purchased today is “catalog items,” meaning traditional music that the public has heard for years, from older established artists. This is also true on the live concert circuit. To explore this fascinating and disturbing topic further, check out the book, Appetite for Self-Destruction by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, “Before the Music Dies.”

 
7. Television. Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they’re playing games and doing lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good riddance to most of it. It’s time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch online and through Netflix.

8. “Things” That You Own. Many of the very possessions that we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own them in the future. They may simply reside in “the cloud.” Today your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their latest “cloud services.” That means that when you turn on a computer, the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider. In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That’s the good news. But, will you actually own any of this “stuff” or will it all be able to disappear at any moment in a big “Poof?” Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

9. Privacy. If there ever was a concept that we can look back on nostalgically, it would be privacy. That’s gone. It’s been gone for a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure that 24/7, “They” know who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads will change to reflect those habits. And “They” will try to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

All we will have that can’t be changed are Memories.

 

 
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Dean View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Dean Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 05:22
The one thing that will not disappear is progress.


If you cannot be wise, pretend to be someone who is wise and then just behave like they would - Neil Gaiman
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Post Options Post Options   Quote JJLehto Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 05:25
Originally posted by Dean

The one thing that will not disappear is progress.


Yup, and it ain't always pretty ACR
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Post Options Post Options   Quote aginor Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 05:42
Aginor wil never   dispear nor disapaer (he is entarnal WAAAAAAAAAH) 

Edited by aginor - June 24 2011 at 05:43
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Post Options Post Options   Quote chopper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 06:52
Music will not disappear in my lifetime.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote topographicbroadways Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:19
1-5 are very true. 

Music as an industry will never disappear. It will continue to adapt to the things that have put it in jeopardy since the early 20th century. People will always love music and plenty will still buy it. Physical music is definitely on the way out. Which is why I buy C.D's and Vinyl's at every opportunity. It's more satisfying to own physical music than digital music.

TV could definitely be on it's way out. At our house we didn't have the money for Satellite last month so we got rid of it and sold our TV the other week. I now live in a Televisionless house and thanks to the internet i've barely noticed.

Privacy is more at risk with Facebook etc. now, but as long as you're careful you can keep information safe
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Post Options Post Options   Quote UMUR Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:26
Originally posted by chopper

Music will not disappear in my lifetime.
 
You´re that old?Wink
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Equality 7-2521 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:43
The idea that music will die is ridiculous. The list itself is pretty ridiculous too because it implies we should care about all of these things it claims will disappear.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Blacksword Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:53
I expect most of those things will go in my lifetime, with the exception of music. There will always be someone making good music. You may just have to go out of your way to find it. It's not 1972 anymore..

A few more things to add to that list..

The Euro
The US dollar
Paper money
Home ownership and mortgages as the norm among the middle class.
A free uncensored internet

Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Dean Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:55
The Post Office we can do without - it is an anachronism - while it was a monopoly we tolerated it, but now that has been broken consumer choice has told it where to so go you cannot blame email, fed-ex and ups for that, it's the Post Office's fault for still behaving like a protected civil service when it was none of those things. Now it has been stripped of all the non-postal things that it should never have been involved in (like pensions, car tax, tv licences, etc) we've discovered something we've known all along - it's rubbish at the one thing it was set up to do 400 years ago - deliver mail.


If you cannot be wise, pretend to be someone who is wise and then just behave like they would - Neil Gaiman
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Epignosis Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:55
1. Good.
2. Good.
3. Won't happen (for two reasons): First, in the US forming that kind of an alliance probably falls under the laws governing cartels, and such a practice would be illegal.  Second, there will be plenty of competing news outlets who will still offer stories for free and enjoy the ad revenue.  The Internet has made scarcity scarce.  In other words, I'm surprised people still actually pay for porn.
4. I don't think the book will be going anywhere any time soon.  You don't have to hold the CD in your hand to listen to music.  You still have to hold something to read (in general).  I actually enjoy the smell of the pages, if that makes any sense.
5. I doubt land line telephone service will be going away either, but it may.  The "Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls" is still a large number of people.
6. Nonsense.  The Internet and sites like Bandcamp are enabling new and innovative music to be heard for the first time by the masses.  The music industry =/= music.  Bon voyage greed and corruption in music- you're history.  This is the most wonderful time to be a music lover (whether you make it or just listen to it).
7. Not so sure about this one either, largely because of DVR.There are far more people who have cable or satellite than watch TV on the Internet.  Just because some people avail themselves of a cheaper alternative does not mean the main avenue of entertainment is going extinct.
8. Again, just because a new service comes into existence does not mean it will completely replace private hard drives.  This is a little silly.
9. Yeah, that's history.

Wait, the economy of the United States didn't make the list?

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Post Options Post Options   Quote harmonium.ro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:57
I disagree on all counts. Things may be different in our respective places, though, but here it's not happening. My possible nominations would be arctic ice, several important animal species, petrol, several languages that have only a handful of speakers left, stuff like that. 
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Equality 7-2521 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 07:58
The US Economy failed to make the list for the same reason that the dodo bird does not appear.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Dean Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 08:04
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521

The US Economy failed to make the list for the same reason that the dodo bird does not appear.
Its eggs were eaten by pigs and rats? Shocked
 
Ermm sorry,
 
Its eggs were eaten by pigs and rats Approve


Edited by Dean - June 24 2011 at 08:05


If you cannot be wise, pretend to be someone who is wise and then just behave like they would - Neil Gaiman
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Negoba Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 08:12
Music will be alive and well...the music industry will continue to change.
 
Most of the change I've seen in music is for the good. Small artists much more opportunity to successfully do music on a small scale. You can create an album, perform locally, manage it all yourself.
 
The "Rock Star" is going away, and has been for awhile. It's just "pop star" now and that shifts with the winds of taste. Justin Bieber, Frank Sinatra, Leif Garrett, etc etc.
Current Listening:

Heater valve kicking on.
Snotty noses being blown.
Griping.
Maybe cookies coming out of the oven???

C is for cookie, and it is good enough for me.

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Post Options Post Options   Quote Henry Plainview Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 08:16
We really don't need to have threads about chain mail...
if you own a sodastream i hate you
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Jim Garten Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 08:17
Originally posted by Dean

The Post Office we can do without - now it has been stripped of all the non-postal things, we've discovered something we've known all along - it's rubbish at the one thing it was set up to do 400 years ago - deliver mail.




Jon Lord 1941 - 2012
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Post Options Post Options   Quote Gamemako Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 08:35
1. Probably. Nobody uses snail mail for anything legitimate anymore.
2. Probably. We just have to wait for the pensioners to die.
3. Probably, except for the pay model. Refer to NYT paywall debacle.
4. Meh. Books have additional utility that a CD does not.
5. Probably. We just have to wait for the pensioners to die.
6. Pfaw, no. Think about how much the base for classical music has narrowed, yet Joshua Bell is still rather wealthy. As long as someone is willing to hear you play live, the industry will live on. Will the recording industry survive? Probably not in its current form.
7. Hulu. Television on demand. Passive entertainment isn't going anywhere, it's just going to be a lot more deliberate.
8. Still exists somewhere, and it will be a tough sell to say that you don't genuinely own what is stored in other locations (just as you still own all the old furniture you've have in that storage unit since your aunt's terrible taste finally killed her).
9. Sadly, we've voluntarily cast it aside. Cory Doctorow made an interesting point about why.
10. The world economy died in August of 2011 when the U.S. defaulted on it's debt. That's why we all live under totalitari-- hey, what are you doing here? Get your hands off me! HEL---
Founder and president of the "Dear God, why are BG listed in the Archives?" Club.
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Post Options Post Options   Quote chopper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 09:21
Originally posted by UMUR

Originally posted by chopper

Music will not disappear in my lifetime.
 
You´re that old?Wink
No (although some may say otherwise) but music will never "disappear".
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Post Options Post Options   Quote rushfan4 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 24 2011 at 10:31
An article I found on the web that discusses industries that are doomed (at least in America).  http://finance.yahoo.com/career-work/article/112946/doomed-industries-bnet
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