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Svetonio ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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Highly unlikely since the real Crimeans are neither Ukrainian or Russian. Most of its current inhabitants are very Russian.. If you look at the demographics and how they voted in the last elections... If it wasn't for larger empires and countries swallowing up Crimea it would be a very Crimean Tatar land now...
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ole-the-first ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: January 03 2012 Location: Russia Status: Offline Points: 1534 |
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Crimea is a closed case by now, and it is lost by Ukraine. But on the other hand, I don't trust Crimean prople's enthusiasm in joining with Russia. I wouldn't doubt that 90 percent of them wanted it now, but I also believe that it was a kind of a temporary mass hysteria. Twenty years ago, a lot of nationalists wanted Crimea to be independent from Russia, and now, the pendulum has swung into other direction.
So if Crimean's life won't get better in following years (and I am sure it won't), pro-Russian positions on Crimea are going to lower (and who knows, maybe new pro-Ukrainian separatist movement would appear). |
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This night wounds time.
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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The Russian army would absolutely crush the Ukrainian army if it ever had to invade Ukraine. I think your Russian government is more intelligent to stay out of Ukraine without having to deploy any troops there.. All of the doubters don't kid themselves, Crimea will not be given back to Ukraine. With the amount of retired Russian sailors and military personnel there, no Ukrainian government can force them to join Ukraine again.
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ole-the-first ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: January 03 2012 Location: Russia Status: Offline Points: 1534 |
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There is already a kind of a civil war. Both sides want everything their way, and both sides view each other as criminals. Any wider-scale armed conflict would mean that the war's winner is getting all and other side gets nothing. Sice most of the people in Eastern Ukraine support the mutiny and some of the Ukrainian forces are quite openly renegading onto protesters' side, the results of possible war are quite unpredictable. And anyway, the outcome of that that possible war would be the oppression of people, no matter who wins.
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This night wounds time.
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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I don't know if dialogue would work in this case between sets of well-armed thugs who want everything their way. It's also not helpful to have such things resolved by dialogue. Maybe there needs to be at least a limited war here to resolve things...
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ole-the-first ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: January 03 2012 Location: Russia Status: Offline Points: 1534 |
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The only thing I can say for sure that there are huge amounts of propaganda coming from both sides, and the propaganda works really well. It's somewhat absurd but mostly sad to see how both sides call fascists each other, it simply doesn't make any sense at all. Both sides of conflict are ought to search for some real solution instead of waging the useless informational war, but it seems like they are more busy in putting 'bad guy' labels on their opponents. This strategy literally leads to nowhere.
The fact is also that Eastern Ukraine people are making the mutiny themselves, and it's a matter of geopolitics. If Russian troops or intelligence forces are engaged in Ukraine, they're still having not much influence on local people. It's like the October Revolution in 1917: it was not Vladimir Lenin who did it but it were people. So everything Ukraine or Russia or Europe or USA did is simply wouldn't help to stop the mutiny. When local people are taking over the government buildings, it's not the question of diplomacy anymore. Any discussions between presidents and chancellors are simply useless, it all will not stop the violence. And only the dialogue with those people would be useful. Edited by ole-the-first - May 01 2014 at 12:53 |
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This night wounds time.
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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Who is to say that Russia caused the entire crisis? Maybe there's a reason why they seized Crimea. Not that I agree with Russia's position or the American position. Russia did it for strategic and military reasons, because Sevastapool is their eye to the Black Sea and the Eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea. They don't have many warm water sea ports except for that one, so for Russia to be the superpower that they always want to be, they need to be have at least one. All sides have such entrenched interests in the region, with some of the world's best soil, world's hottest females and of course, some of the world's most productive resource mines (Donbass region), etc. etc. There's a huge geopolitical interest too in Ukraine for all sides, but especially for Russia. The unfortunate part is that if the West escalates the tensions, Russia will do the same and vice versa... Could lead to something very very ugly. |
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Blacksword ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
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They should have held on to their nuclear weapons when the USSR collapsed. The Russians wouldn't have bothered with Crimea had Ukraine remained armed to the teeth.
As it is a Russian invasion looks probable now and a civil war almost a certainty. How this could escalate goes beyond the plot of a disaster movie. All we can hope for is that Washington and Moscow had made an under the table deal before any of this nonsense, to split the country up to give Russian the Crimea back and the EU to take the rest, and that all this sabre rattling and rioting is just a sideshow. Something tells me this is not a staged crisis though. |
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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Happens to countries when its leaders get beholden to other country's interests with lavish gifts of gold and of power....
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Blacksword ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
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Ukrainian army on full alert as Kiev admits east is now beyond control. Russian invasion a very real possibility..
RT article Edited by Blacksword - April 30 2014 at 06:45 |
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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NATO wants the big bear to get entangled in another Afghanistan, but this time in Ukraine.
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tszirmay ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: August 17 2006 Location: Canada Status: Offline Points: 6673 |
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Funny, most of NATO is still in Afghanistan! Oh, that did not turn out to well as it was , ultimately, another brick in the wall of collapse of the USSR. ![]() Poles, Estonians, Latvians, Lithuanians, Hungarians, Bulgarians,Czechs, Romanians, Slovaks, even the Serbians are not too keen on seeing Ma Russia going back to the 'Old days' ![]() This may sound callous and unjust but Ukrainians have always had a schizoid history, having had an ultra-fascist past (Stef Bandera and his gang) and an ultra-communist past (Brezhnev, Khrushchev, Chernenko born in or very near to Ukraine). So now, it all comes out in the wash, history repeating itself once again. Lest we all forget the forced Stalin ordered 1932 famine where estimates vary but somewhere between 4 and 7 million people died. This alone will be the reason why they choose to fight instead of submitting once again to the big bear.
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I never post anything anywhere without doing more than basic research, often in depth.
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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He's just trying to rebuilt the lost empire and reclaim the "southern part of his empire". Also to protect his Western borders from NATO.
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*frinspar* ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: May 27 2008 Location: Arizona Status: Offline Points: 463 |
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Then what, exactly, is Putin trying to do? His actions have never shown him to be a man given to warm fuzzies and kitten hugging. He's an aggressor at heart infatuated with a Russia that used to be.
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King of Loss ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: April 21 2005 Location: Boston, MA Status: Offline Points: 17069 |
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The war of rhetoric continues...
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Blacksword ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() ![]() Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
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Ukraine FM claims Moscow is engineering third world war..
Daily Telegraph UK Edited by Blacksword - April 26 2014 at 08:00 |
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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The T ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 16 2006 Location: FL, USA Status: Offline Points: 17493 |
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The world needs the CCCP again.
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Svetonio ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: September 20 2010 Location: Serbia Status: Offline Points: 10213 |
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Dayvenkirq ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: May 25 2011 Location: Los Angeles, CA Status: Offline Points: 10970 |
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Edited by Dayvenkirq - April 24 2014 at 17:13 |
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